Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 4.243014 4.563352 4.907026 5.305034 5.755661 6.252888 6.846999
2025-06-08 3.732871 4.179504 4.690656 5.326557 6.107539 7.050784 8.301139
2025-06-15 3.444486 3.964335 4.586774 5.402661 6.469085 7.854747 9.864011
2025-06-22 3.120062 3.655206 4.315146 5.211155 6.434253 8.110175 10.713312
2025-06-29 2.889294 3.434114 4.122508 5.085225 6.449604 8.409903 11.656548
2025-07-06 2.709582 3.259938 3.969828 4.988373 6.480628 8.719442 12.660586
2025-07-13 2.582604 3.142925 3.879949 4.963875 6.604738 9.176784 14.005602
2025-07-20 2.510906 3.092499 3.873466 5.052897 6.903628 9.952065 16.128549
2025-07-27 2.455437 3.058881 3.885421 5.166455 7.250123 10.862481 18.813765
2025-08-03 2.374373 2.984115 3.832285 5.174084 7.420836 11.485439 21.104889
2025-08-10 2.277500 2.881480 3.731539 5.097665 7.437530 11.817247 22.828866
2025-08-17 2.176102 2.767342 3.607050 4.973231 7.355464 11.938664 24.059429
2025-08-24 2.087459 2.670629 3.507770 4.889819 7.352220 12.252047 26.071516
2025-08-31 2.029130 2.615491 3.468519 4.903029 7.530554 12.995888 29.842938
2025-09-07 1.988241 2.583436 3.461878 4.969234 7.816527 14.047971 35.460502
2025-09-14 1.895948 2.471091 3.324652 4.800821 7.623163 13.927614 36.608360
2025-09-21 1.823090 2.384931 3.224339 4.689883 7.533739 14.049610 38.913690
2025-09-28 1.760932 2.312356 3.141874 4.604438 7.486741 14.271028 41.899150
2025-10-05 1.716606 2.264971 3.097104 4.582808 7.569841 14.854839 47.319356
2025-10-12 1.695959 2.252621 3.107643 4.661374 7.875557 16.133638 58.562010
2025-10-19 1.680530 2.247444 3.129215 4.761458 8.242520 17.716394 75.644610
2025-10-26 1.647848 2.214086 3.102450 4.768176 8.397983 18.700333 91.188078
2025-11-02 1.603146 2.160352 3.039307 4.700849 8.371754 19.080715 102.277711